Thursday, November 26, 2009

michaelmas [week 7]: thanksgiving day

Exeter College boasts the most 'authentic' Thanksgiving Day dinner in all of Oxford. This is largely because of the 'Williams-Exeter Programme at Oxford,' which has been sending over 30 Williams students to Exeter for a full year of study since 1985. And for the past 80 years Williams has awarded one graduating senior the Moody-Donovan Fellowship to study for a Master's degree at Oxford. So, at a cost of just £20 I had to find out for myself. In fact, this dinner is SO popular, that they don't even allow you to bring a guest! I've included some photos below so that you can experience Thanksgiving Oxford-style:



some nice cornbread with cranberry and butter...
turkey with stuffed mushrooms, a cranberry cornbread roll, sausage wrapped in bacon, sweetpotatoes, mashed potatoes & gravy, and string beans...
pumpkin pie, pecan pie, warm apple pie with raisens,
and a dollup of ice cream and whipped cream...
Williams students were obliged to sing their College's song...

Monday, November 23, 2009

michaelmas [week 6]: group-work assignments

Most people know that the hardest part about getting an MBA is getting in. I agree that statistically this is true, however, at Oxford they really make you earn that degree! Just in case you don't believe me, I've included a copy of our Study Group's workflow chart below:


You can see that in addition to taking 6 courses during Michaelmas term (e.g. Accounting, Finance, Marketing, Microeconomics, Statistics, and Strategy), we also have 8 group-work assignments due. These assignments range from 1,500 to 3,000 words each with another few pages of charts and Excel calculations included in the appendices. These are huge undertakings that would not be possible without the combined efforts of our Study Group members: Babacar, Christoph, Emily, Mosima, and Keerti Prasad. Some other MBAs aren't so fortunate.


With all of this work, of course, it is important that you keep it together lest you suffer a nervous breakdown like John Nash. The work can feel quite overwhelming when you are also spending your weekends applying for jobs, or waking up at 6am each morning for rowing practice. The demands are great, yet, the Oxford MBA is only one year long so you want to fit as many experiences in as possible. Since group-work assignments typically count for 40% of your grade it is important to try and maintain internal harmony within a Study Group that you had no say in, and which was specifically comprised of people with different work backgrounds and cultures.

Our group has now submitted 5 out of 8 group-work assignments. There is no refuge, however. One assignment is due at 11pm, and before you have a chance to celebrate another one is due just 22-hours later...the onslaught continues. My advice to incoming MBAs would be to stand back and take a healthy perspective. For example, our iconic Accounting professor Tomo Suzuki said, "while it may be discouraging if a teammate is not pulling their weight, that is okay, provided they reciprocate later in other ways, such as with a job". Tomo is a very practical man!

Monday, November 16, 2009

michaelmas [week 5]: isis in winter

Last year when I was first considering B-school, I remember leafing through the latest Oxford brochure and reading how they were different because MBA students were fully integrated into the University. Over the past five weeks I have come to realize what this really means. For example, during matriculation, our College 'Freshers' photo included both incoming undergraduate and graduate students, which is uncommon in the States. And of course there are also the University wide public lecture series, and recruiting fairs that MBA are also able to attend.

But perhaps most enjoyable has been my time spent rowing for the Exeter College Novice B team. Along with my fellow 'boaties', we row three times a week on the Isis, sometimes as early as 6am in pitch blackness. Rowing at Oxford is a big deal, in fact, 1 out of 3 students row at some point during their Oxford studies! And although the penultimate manifestation of rowing revelry is the annual 'Boat Race' that has been taking place between Oxford and Cambridge since 1859, students of all ages and abilities participate.

New students take warning. When you are invited to a BBQ at the College boat house during 'Nought Week' you will be put on an erg machine and tested for 1-minute to see how fast you can row. After wolfing down my hamburger I managed to get on the erg machine and row about 38 strokes per/minute. Later I found out that this was good enough to put me on the Novice B team. Exeter had four boats this Fall: A, B, C, and D. It works similar for women's rowing, as well. Most of the graduate students rowed on the C boat.

For those of you already familiar with Oxford you may remember that the school year is broken up into Michaelmas (Oct-Dec), Hilary (Jan-Mar), and Trinity (Apr-Jun) terms. Michaelmas terms is dedicated to Novice rowers; those who have never rowed before. You train all term for the 'Christ Church Regatta', which is a 800 meter sprint where you row side-by-side with another boat trying to overtake them. The event takes place over four days (Thu-Sun) - weather permitting - beginning around November 27th. The more ambitious rowers can participate in the warm-up event, called 'Isis in Winter', which our crew participated in on Sunday, November 14th. The big difference between the two events is that Isis in Winter is 1400 meters long, and you are only racing against the clock.

If you have rowed in the Christ Church Regatta, then congratulations - you are no longer considered a novice! Now you can go on and compete in 'Torpids' during Hilary, and finally 'Eights' during Trinity term to complete the Oxford rowing trifecta. But it's an incredible commitment of time and energy, so maybe I'll see how my job search pans out before the end of Michaelmas before I decide whether or not to continue on. Although I have lost 10lbs so far rowing, so maybe I'll stick with it a little longer to get into shape for my wedding next October.

Saturday, November 7, 2009

michaelmas [week 4]: guy fawkes day

England is a land of many unique, and sometimes perplexing traditions. Back in America, we usually celebrate Election Day during the first Tuesday of November, but here in Oxford we celebrated "Guy Fawkes Night" to commemorate a foiled plot by disgruntled Catholics to blow-up Parliament on November 5, 1605. Things didn't work out too well for the poor "Guy" who was subsequently hanged, drawn, and quartered. Now every year people light fireworks and burn effigies of Guy Fawke as they recite the poem:

Remember, remember the Fifth of November,
The Gunpowder Treason and Plot,
I know of no reason
Why the Gunpowder Treason
Should ever be forgot.


I was much more interested, however, in enjoying a nice Saturday lunch with my friends at the famous Eagle & Child pub (commonly referred to as the "Bird & Baby") on St. Giles Street. Founded in 1650, the pub is currently owned by nearby St. John's College, which seems to own just about everything, including the "Lamb & Flag" pub across the street - nice way to build a monopoly! The pub is perhaps most famously known as the meeting place for writers JRR Tolkien and CS Lewis. We also had a reason to celebrate. Election results for student government were announced the night before. In the picture below, both Bo and I won a VP position - it always helps when you run unopposed. And Tushar won a week earlier as Chairman of the Private Equity club. I had also won an election the previous week for Chairman of the Finance club. No club funds, however, were used to finance our lunch.

One of the best parts of being an Oxford MBA is the chance to meet new and interesting people. Only time will tell what these relationships lead to, what new businesses are launched, and who is running for President of which country (over 50 world leaders were Oxford students). Who knows what the future will bring for us all? All I can be sure of for now, is that Tommy will continue to keep me on my toes with his consistent tennis serve, Mike will protect my identity with RFID technology, and Bo will inspire me to go to an election party, an Oxford Union bop, and the Bridge nightclub all within a 12-hour period and still make lunch at the Eagle & Child the next day!


Saturday, October 31, 2009

michaelmas [week 3]: job applications

There are several things that I hope to accomplish through this blog. And one of them is to find my 'dream job during the worst recession since the 1930s.' Although I have only been living in Oxford for one month, I have already begun my job search. If you want to work in finance, then you better be prepared to hand in your applications by the end of November - at the latest. Even some consulting firms, such as McKinsey and Bain, have a deadline of November 1st. So, come to Oxford prepared with a polished CV, and a good idea of what job you want to target.

I'd like to give you an idea of what it is like to balance looking for a career while taking classes. On October 5th, in-between classes, I rushed up the stairs to check my email in the Sainsbury Library. At around 11:47AM I hear my email 'ping,' and I read about an opportunity to interview with a top European bank. Sounds good so far. Then, I read the disclaimer, "Please email your CV by 8am the following morning." Okay, no problem, this is why I already have my CV ready to go at a moment's notice.

A few days later I get an email back from the bank confirming that I had made the 'first-cut,' and was invited to interview. I was very excited, and then I read that the interview would be over two-days (during class) and in London! Again no problem, this is why I came to B-school...to get a job.

The following day I used my '16-25 Student Railcard' (cost: £26) to buy my 'return-ticket' from Oxford to London Paddington for just £9 (normally £20+). I skipped out on my Thursday Decision Science (Statistics) class, and headed for Canary Wharf - London's financial district. After this group-interview/workshop, I returned home so that I could attend my Friday morning Finance I class before leaving for my one-on-one interview at 3pm with an AVP and Director of the bank. If I had an earlier interview, then I probably would have just stayed overnight in London. By the way, this bank reimburses up to £100 for travel expenses.

Now a week has passed since my First Round interview. Although I think it went well, I now have to 'officially' submit my application online, and reference a specific job code to be considered for the Final Round. If the last sentence sounded confusing, then you would be correct to think that it is unusual to be interviewed before you submit an application. But, interestingly, I found that this was a great way to have a candid conversation with recruiting on which role best fits your profile. It will still be a few weeks before I learn my fate with this bank. I am hoping for the best, and expecting the worst. But it sure would be nice to come home during Christmas break with a job offer!

Friday, October 30, 2009

michaelmas [week 2]: diwali 'festival of lights'

Some of you reading this blog post might be considering applying to an MBA program. Depending on your unique set of circumstances, some things may be more important to you than others when choosing a school. As a now thirty-two year old New Yorker about to get married in a year, my priorities might be very different from someone else’s. For example, when I was considering which schools to apply to I was very concerned with brand recognition, course length, cost of course, and the internationalism of the student body.

While the Oxford brand is undeniable, there are plenty of schools in the US that are equally well-known. Similarly, Oxford does not hold a monopoly on the one-year MBA scheme; although paying half the tuition of a comparable two-year American program is pretty nice! But one thing that really sets Oxford apart from all the rest is its diversity.

When I was studying for the CFA they talked about technology and globalization as the two biggest forces shaping the 21st century. Back home in New York, most MBA programs are split 75% American and 25% international. Here in Oxford that number is reversed. How can you succeed in an increasingly global world without an international degree? This year’s class of 244 Oxford MBA students comes from 48 countries with an average of six years work experience. Surprisingly, British students represent less than 5% of the class. Roughly speaking, one-third of the class comes each from North America & Europe, India, and Asia. This makes for a wonderful mix of cultures.

It was pretty clear to me that I wasn’t in New York anymore as I walked down the street past the ‘Honey Pot’ pub toward the b-school to celebrate Diwali, dressed from head-to-toe in a kurta that my friend Pavan had graciously lent me (complete with sandals). In fact, it was good enough to win ‘first-prize’ for best dressed. I must admit, however, that Rajeev and Raja were looking pretty snazzy, too, so I was lucky to have won!

About 20% of this year’s MBA class comes from India, and they did a wonderful job organizing the event. Sumi was the MC and taught us some ‘Bollywood’ dance moves, although no one could pull it off quite like him. Nazneen and Archana did a wonderful job choreographing some dances for the men and women. Everyone practiced so hard to learn the traditional Indian dances. I was amazed to see the great job Emily did – my study group partner. Then Rahul proved that not only does he have a wicked one-handed backhand in tennis, but he also has pinpoint accuracy when choosing Bingo numbers through a computer Random Number Generator. Nice job!


But the highlight of night was when Harpreet in a show of camaraderie and respect, gave me his stoll (scarf) as a gift. As we danced into the night, celebrating “the victory of good over evil; the uplifting of spiritual darkness,” I couldn’t help but think that I would never have experienced this had I stayed in New York.






Sunday, October 18, 2009

michaelmas [week 1]: oxford matriculation (saturday, oct 17, 2009)

Just as in the United States, your college experience at Oxford is bookended between matriculation and graduation. Although I didn't see too many families attending, there were some, and matriculation would be one of the events that you might want them to come to. That being said, the actual matriculation process took only 15-minutes, at which point we were all formally admitted into the University (rather than the College, which happened 1-week earlier when we signed our names in the College Registry). Here are all the undergrad and grad 'Freshers' waiting to get our College photo taken in the Exeter Front Quad at 8:00AM (brrrr...it was cold out there!)...




After taking our College photo we all walked out onto Turl Street, and made our way to the Broad Street to the Sheldonian Theatre where the actual Matriculation ceremony took place at 9:00AM. Here many of us are waiting patiently outside to pour into the Sheldonian...



...Here are some pictures from inside the Sheldonian where the Vice-Chancellor gave a nice speech welcoming us to the University (part of which was spoken in Latin!)...


...Here's a picture of me inside the Sheldonian all dressed-up in 'sub-fusc' (black suit & shoes, white bow-tie, black academic gown, and black mortar board hat). Interesting to note that grad gowns are longer than undergrad 'commoner' gowns. Also, you're not allowed to wear your academic hat during graduation (only after you've earned the right during graduation), so you must hold your hat in your hand instead...



...Back to the Exeter Dining Hall for a special 'Matriculation Brunch.' There were a limited number of seats, which you had to reserve online through Exeter's 'Upay' system. Unfortunately, only 2 out of 7 Exeter MBA were able to attend, so I encourage future MBA who want to attend to be sure to register well in advance to secure a seat...




...Ahhhhh and here's the food. To drink we had tea, orange juice, and Mimosas (OJ + champagne). To eat we started with cold cereal and freshly baked pastries. For the main course we had sunny-side up eggs with Canadian bacon, boiled tomato, sausage, baked beans, hash brown, mushrooms, and fried-toast...


...Finally, here are some finally pictures of me wearing 'sub-fusc' in the Exeter front quad during matriculation day...!

Sunday, October 11, 2009

first blog post since arriving in oxford

Most of my blog readers will have already experienced the whirlwind beginning to our 2009-10 MBA course. Every day is filled with a never-ending list of activities, including orientation (SBA and College), job search, social activities (London boat cruises, pub crawls, and bops [themed parties], and administrative tasks (bank account, bike, cell phone, email, shopping, etc.). Classes haven't even started!

Last week they divided our class of 244 MBAs (up from 233 as of last year) into three course sections. I'm in section A, and so we don't start class until Tuesday, while the other two sections start tomorrow, Monday, October 12th. Our three sections were then further divided into smaller study groups of 5-6 people. For those interested in applying to Oxford take notice that you have absolutely no choice in which course section or study group that you will be in.

I may be slightly biased, but so far, I believe that my study group is the best!!! Since up to 40% of coursework is group-based, we all pledged to keep the average up as high as possible, so that we all have a fair shot of making 'distinction' come final exams at the end of the Michaelmas term. I'm sure they wouldn't mind me mentioning their names: Christof is a consultant from Germany, Emily is a lawyer from Australia, Mosima is a doctor from South Africa, Keerti is an engineer from India, and Babacar works for the IFC World Bank from Senegal. Pretty impressive, huh (how did I end up here - just kidding)?!

Over the next few days I'll do my best to fill you in on the details of what has been going on here recently. I'll just start with a little timeline, so that when you come around to doing this course you might have a better idea on what to expect.

Thursday, September 24th:
- Arrived in LHR on an overnight red-eye flight from JFK
- Checked into temporary College Housing at Stapledon House
- Picked-up Oxford Student Card ('Bod Card') at Exeter
- Opened HSBC Passport bank account
- Shopped for some basic items (toiletries, etc.)
- Had dinner with Bo and Court at QUOD on the High Street (highly recommend)

Friday, September 25th:
- Spent most of the day relaxing, and walking around Oxford
- Met 0ver 65 MBA and MFE students at 'the Turf' pub, which I organized on our class Facebook page

Saturday, September 26th:
- More exploring Oxford, and adjusting to our new life here

Sunday, September 27th:
- Took train ride to Morton-in-the-March in the Cotswolds, and carried on my bus to Stow-in-the-Wold where we stayed overnight at the beautiful Grapevine hotel

Monday, September 28th:
- Enjoyed more beautifully weather in England and the Cotswolds!? Walked around shopping, and walking on a 'ghost tour'

Tuesday, September 29th:
- Back in Oxford getting ready for SBS Orientation tomorrow
- Bought some books half-off from last year MBA (spent about £150 for 6 books representing about 75% of the first-term books). Blackwells sells all the SBS books for over £400 total, plus they don't offer a student-discount, while Borders does (take heed)

Wednesday, September 30th:
- Now things really begin...tune in to next week's blog



Thursday, September 10, 2009

pre-mba: "The McKinsey Way" (book 1 of 3)

Students entering the top-MBA programs quickly learn how to multi-task, and prioritize their time. Beginning with the actual application process (which often starts a year in advance), and continuing along with finding financing and arranging accommodations, MBA students must be quick out of the gate. They learn to focus and formulate their personal goals early. Whether the goal is to do well in school, or to build an MBA network of friends & colleagues, all these goals ultimately boil down to getting a good job.

So, what constitutes a good job? This really depends on the unique needs and desires of each student. Traditional post-MBA career options include consulting, entrepreneurship, finance, industry, and marketing. The ideal job for someone interested in marketing might be to work for a top public relations firm on Madison Avenue. Other students would love to start their own tech venture in Silicon Valley. Nevertheless, most MBA students would agree that the most competitive jobs, which also pay the highest salaries, are those in consulting and finance. Top consulting firms include McKinsey, Boston Consulting Group, and Booz Allen.

Those seeking careers in finance must make a further decision on whether they want to work in asset management, brokerage/private banking, investment banking, private equity, or venture capital. Top finance firms include Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch (now Bank of America), and Citigroup. Kudos to you if you manage to score a job in consulting or investment banking! Your odds of landing one of these jobs is less than the acceptance rates at most top-MBA programs (less than 10%). Yet even more rare (and prestigious) are the jobs in private equity and venture capital.

Those of you interested in consulting careers might consider reading the McKinsey trilogy of books written by ex-McKinsey-ites, Ethan Rasiel and Dr. Paul Friga. Within ten years of writing his first book on McKinsey, entitled "The McKinsey Way," Rasiel has witnessed "the Firm" double its number of professional consultants to 9,000, and increase its number of locations by almost 20% to 89 offices globally. McKinsey continues to thrive in up and down markets that included the tech bubble bursting, 9/11 terrorist attacks, and the worst economic recession since the 1930's. If you want to join this illustrious firm, then according to Rasiel, getting hired by McKinsey is simple:

"Be of above average intelligence, possess a record of academic achievement at a good college and a top business school, show evidence of achievement in all previous jobs, and demonstrate extraordinary analytical ability. [And] If you manage to clear all those hurdles, the key to joining the Firm may be the case interview" (p. 161).

But you don't have to work for McKinsey to benefit from applying its approach to your own business problems. The cornerstone for getting inside the McKinsey mind is the MECE (pronounced "me-see") mantra - an acronym that stands for "mutually exclusive, completely exhaustive." And this doesn't refer to the hours you'll be working as a consultant. Although they will also be mutually exclusive AND completely exhaustive!

The process begins once the client comes to you with a problem. You must first dissect the problem into its simple constituent parts. For example, if the client says, "We need to make more money," then you should immediately respond, "Well, how do you currently make your money?" When the client answers that they make money by selling product X, then the obvious question becomes, "How do we sell more of product X." Next, to make this initial root question conform to MECE standards we exhaustively look at ALL the factors that might effect sales of product X, including production costs, distribution channels, and marketing. Then, re-phrase the question(s) into "action statements." For example, "We can increase product X sales by: reducing our unit costs, changing the way we sell to customers, and improving the way we market to customers (this construct can be teased out further by constructing an "issue tree").

Once organized into this framework, we can form our initial hypotheses on how to solve the problem(s). Finally, we test our hypotheses by verifying them against the facts ("trust, but verify"). Facts trump all else. Ethan Rasiel warns us, "Hiding from the facts is a prescription for failure - eventually, truth will out" (p. 5). The McKinsey system relies heavily on the availability and accuracy of these facts, some of which are gathered through its proprietary "PDnet" system - a collection of recent "client engagements," as well as internal research and publications, such as "The McKinsey Quarterly". Such an analytical framework that breaks propositions down into their "atomic facts" would make the logical positivists of the 1920's that occupied Oxbridge very happy. Having studied philosophy during college, it seems that a background in philosophy would be great training for being a consultant, because you must be a generalist, yet also possess the analytical ability to delve into the nitty-gritty. Rasiel quotes one Engagement Manager who said, "You have to be fundamentally skeptical about everything" (p. 2).

Another feature of McKinsey that can benefit other organizations is their "free-flow of information" philosophy that is nurtured through a lateral hiearchy. While there exists a clear pecking order: Director of Client Services (DCS), Director, Partner, Senior Engagement Manager (SEM), Engagement Manager (EM), and Associate, McKinsey adopts an open-door policy. You MUST keep others "in the loop." Sometimes the best ideas come from your teammates, Rasiel advises, "Keep an open and flexible mind. Don't let a strong initial hypothesis become an excuse for mental inflexibility" (p. 21). There will be times, however, when even the best ideas (no matter who comes up with them) just cannot be implemented for the client due to "political reasons, lack of resources or inability."

Rasiel also discovered several other useful rules while working as an associate at McKinsey (from 1989 to 1992) that might help you. For example, for some unknown reason the 80/20 rule - that 20% of the work is responsible for 80% of the results - seems to apply to many facets of life, including business. As alluded to earlier, it is also important to consult your co-workers, rather than have to re-invent the wheel. And if you're chatting it up with your EM, then you better be familiar enough with the client solution to be able to articulate it in the 30 seconds it takes to ride down in an elevator with him. A final useful point to remember is that on your quest to discovering the holy grail (big picture) be sure to go after little victories by "picking the low-hanging fruit." While you don't need to work at McKinsey to develop this analytical frame of mind, the Firm is filled with such people, and the lessons are universal in their application.

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

pre-mba: freshers' pack (and bank account)

With less than a month to go before classes start, I was getting nervous that I hadn't heard much of anything from either the B-school or Exeter College. My nerves were partially relieved when I received a "Freshers' Pack" from Exeter College. This package, which is sent to all new incoming students (by their respective College), took about ten days to travel from Oxford to New York. It listed an itinerary of mandatory, as well as optional events, that I would attend once I arrive in Oxford. Unfortunately, the first optional event designed to introduce students to their new college, called the "Postgraduate Induction Session," is being held on September 30th, which conflicts with my mandatory B-school orientation. Nevertheless Exeter made up for this by offering to meet their incoming Freshers at the Gloucester Green Bus Station (if requested), which I thought was very nice of them. Exeter is also hosting their "Graduate Freshers' Dinner" on October 6th where the dress code is "Formal & Gown" as new students dine at the High Table by candlelight! Lucky for me the packet also contained an advertisement from "Ede & Ravenscroft" on where to buy such Oxford garb and at what price.


The Freshers' Pack also contained two copies of my housing contract ("Graduate Tenancy Agreement"), which is VERY important when you want to prove your UK address to the immigration officer when you first fly into Heathrow. By and large, the university does not send you an inordinate amount of paperwork, so it's natural to sometimes feel a little worried when you haven't heard from them in a while - especially because they're overseas, making visiting them or calling them difficult. As I poured over the Exeter materials I also read through the red-colored "Handbook for Students" that provides you with useful things, such as a staff directory, and when meals are served in Hall. I was also terribly relieved to find a "Letter of Introduction to UK Banking Facilities," signed by Exeter's Academic Secretary. The one thing I read over and over again in other peoples' blogs is that you want to have your bank account, and cell phone account, set-up as soon as possible. Otherwise you'll fall behind in class while trying to go through this frustrating process. *Important note* One needs a bank account BEFORE they can get a cell phone.

The four main UK banks in Oxford include Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds, and Natwest. An excellent chart comparing the banks is available here. I favor Barclays and HSBC, because I think they are more international, having several locations in New York. That being said, you can only open the account in person in Oxford. I believe that HSBC, however, allows you to start the account opening process online, but you must still visit a branch in person to finalize the account.

As an international student you will also find yourself limited to the type of account that you can open. For example, when attempting to sign-up for a Barclays Student Account I was told that I only qualified for their iBank Student Account, because I was a "non-permanent UK resident" defined as "a person who has lived in the UK at least three years before starting higher education studies." Essentially this means we're stuck paying higher fees. The HSBS Passport Student Account charges £84 per year with a one year firm commitment. The Barclays iBank Student Account charges £60 per year. You can print a short application from the Barclay website and pre-fill it out before returning it to the Oxford bank branch located on Cornmarket Street. I'm sure that there exists other banks in Oxford that charge no fees, however, the bank may not be as large or international as the ones I have mentioned.

Other than that, my Freshers' Pack contained some forms that I need to return upon arriving in Oxford. For example, I need to return my Graduate Tenancy Agreement, Graduate Freshers' Dinner reservation, Exeter College Student Contract, Exeter College Graduate Freshers' Information Sheet, and some doctors forms. Most of the paperwork only needs to be signed and reviewed so I'm not sweating it too much. For those of you looking for even more information, I would HIGHLY recommend reading through the Student Handbook published by the Oxford International Students' Handbook.

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

pre-mba: pre-departure planning

I can't believe how fast the time has gone! I remember flying to Oxford with my fiancee Lisa for my Round 2 interview back on February 20th. It seemed to take forever as I waited for their admission decision that was emailed to me on March 27th. After discussing the opportunity with Lisa, as well as with my friends and family, everyone agreed it was too good of an opportunity to pass up. It was also a dream come true, especially because I had studied abroad at Oxford in 2000 while an undergraduate. I remember walking to the train station with my sister to catch a train to Morton-in-the-Marsh in the Cotswolds, and passing by a construction site where the new Saïd Business School was being built. That day I pledged to myself to one day return, and to take a proper degree - that is, to be permanently etched into the matriculation books at Oxford.

Life, however, does not move in a perfectly linear fashion as economics might otherwise suggest. Undetered by what challenges life threw at me, I persevered, and after a lot of hard-work, can now count myself as one of the lucky ones who will earn an MBA from Oxford University. I use the term "lucky" loosely. Of course I believe that: success = preparation + opportunity, but just because you work hard doesn't mean that you're guaranteed anything; you just simply tip the probability for success in your favor.

Even probability is a relative term, however, as anyone who watches ESPN's "Texas Hold'em World Series of Poker" knows. Time and gain you see a player dealt "bullets" down (the best possible starting hand in poker), he bets strategically, and winds up "flopping" yet another Ace for "trip Aces". His probability for winning skyrockets to over 90%. Nothing else is showing on the green felt table except a scattered mess of cards, until the final card is revealed on the "river." Your opponent miraculously makes his "inside straight draw," and clutches victory from the jaws of defeat even though they should have folded at the get-go. Those challenges, and how you react to such an improbable defeat, reveals a person's character. At times like these you have to stick hard-and-fast to the belief that over time there will be a "reversion to the mean," and that your best bet is to continue to play the percentages. And have enough liquidity to see you through!

You might be surprised to learn that I actually don't watch much poker. I had too much other work to accomplish before leaving for Oxford! Most importantly, Lisa and I bought our plane tickets to Heathrow yesterday. Fares were up to $700 each round-trip on Virgin Atlantic from New York (JFK) to London Heathrow (LHR), compared to $500 when we last flew in February. We'll be arriving a week before mandatory MBA orientation, and a full two weeks before the start of Michaelmas term. This should give me ample time to open a bank account and buy a cell phone. We managed to get a reasonable £16 per night room through Exeter College. The next best price I found was £55 at the Saint Michael's Guess House (across from the Oxford Union) for a double room. Fancier places, like the Buttery on Broad Street and the Randolph Hotel on Beaumont Street, charge £120 and £156 per night for a double room, respectively! This should give you a good idea if and when you book temporary accommodations in Oxford (or have family visit).

The only other thing remaining is my Visa. I suggest that everyone stay on top of this early. I proactively requested my Visa letter by emailing the business school administration. I had a wonderful experience. Their turnaround time was top-rate, and they were extremely responsive to me. As soon as my "hard copy" arrived in early July, I booked an online appointment to get my biometric fingerprints taken at the closest US Federal Office to me in New York City. I had to wait nearly one month for an available appointment! I finally had my biometrics taken on August 19th, and immediately overnighted my entire Student Visa (Tier 4) application to the New York British Consulate. And I was thorough! You will want to include the following: Passport (original), Student Visa application (filled out and printed online), Biometric fingerprints (original), MBA Admission letter (original), Oxford College Admission letter (original), Proof of Oxford Housing Address, Student Transcripts (original), and Funding Documents (student loans, bank account balances, etc.). It took the British Consulate eleven days just to confirm by email that they had received my application, and would take a further 5 to 10 business days to process. I suppose this won't be too bad provided I get my Visa by next Friday.
My biggest recommendation would be to book your biometric appointment ASAP, and to put together a very complete and legible application (read above). I don't know how later Round applicants get this done in time since some aren't notified of their admission until July! Good luck, and feel free to write a comment if you have any problems/questions with preparing to move to Oxford.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

pre-mba: facebook

Everyone admitted into the Oxford MBA program is immediately granted online access to the incoming-student intranet site. As time passes, more content is added. The intranet site is the primary way that administration communicates with us regarding scholarship winners, college availability, and student Q&A. It is also the best way to learn what Facebook page(s) have been created for each MBA class, so that students can begin to network, and get to know each other more informally.

Roughly two-thirds (158/240) of the incoming Oxford MBA class is on Facebook. Over the summer, many students have posted pre-MBA “meet-up” events in London, Mumbai, and New York. In fact, I helped organize the event in New York where I met two other Oxford-bound MBAs. Between the three of us, we worked at Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Smith Barney. In addition to working in finance, two of us owned our businesses (one of which has secured a patent). From meeting other alumni I have learned that there will be two others joining us. That makes five of us from New York, which is about 10% of the US intake!

Make good use of the networking while you can. Many good schools offer solid MBA programs, and some students even skip the MBA altogether, and instead study for the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation. The difference lies in the people you meet, and the relationships you build, especially at a school like Oxford, which sets a very high threshold for admission.

In some of my earlier posts I mention that Oxford is divided into three terms (Michaelmas, Hilary, and Trinity). The first term begins on October 5th, and consists of six mandatory core courses: Finance I, Decision Science, Financial Reporting, Strategy I, Managerial Economics, and Marketing. MBA Students, however, must arrive on September 30th for compulsory orientation. Unfortunately, college accommodations usually don’t start until October 1st, which means that early-arrivers will have to pay a modest £18 per diem to move in earlier.

Come Hilary term, students get to choose three electives, and six more electives for Trinity term. To give you a flavor of the different electives available, the following classes were recently posted on the intranet site for Trinity term (I’ve highlighted the ones I’d like to take). If you feel like a kid in a candy store, then maybe you should apply to Oxford:

Business History, Business in China, Capital Raising, Cooperative Strategy, Corporate Valuation, CSR & Ethical Marketing, Customer Insight, Derivatives, Design Leadership, Environment Organizations & Sustainability, Financial Risk Management, Leading Strategic Change, Managing Complexity, Managing High-growth Companies, Managing the Project Portfolio, Marketing Innovation, Mergers Acquisitions & Restructuring, Negotiations, Private Equity, Real Estate, Retailing, Social Finance, Social Enterprise Design, Social Entrepreneurship and Innovation, Taxation Finance & Business Strategy, and Trading & Market Microstructure.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

CFA study session #5: economics: macroeconomics (market structure)


Accepting that our resources are limited (aka factors of production: land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship), the fundamental economic questions become: (1) what do we produce, (2) how do we produce it, and (3) how do we distribute it. Market theory, as originally developed by Adam Smith (student at Balliol College, Oxford) in his book the "Wealth of Nations (published 1776)," posits that the independent market forces of supply and demand provide the most efficient answers to these questions. That which should be produced is that for which people are willing to pay for. The method in which it should be produced is that method by which the lowest price to the consumer, and highest profit to the producer can be achieved. Further, such a product should be distributed to the highest bidder; those most willing to pay for it.

Adam Smith, however, presupposes that all such markets for goods and services exist in an ideal state, one in which there are many buyers and sellers, no barriers to entry, perfect information, and equal and undifferentiated products where the seller is a "price-taker." This may be true in some markets, such as when you buy a loaf of bread at the supermarket, but definitely not so when you are searching for competitors to upgrade your computer's Operating System. Macroeconomics investigates this range of different markets that actually exist:

Perfect Competition --> Monopolistic Competition
--> Oligopoly --> Monopoly

As we move from left to right the producer/seller gains the upper-hand. They often enjoy large market share, barriers to entry from competitors, and a differentiated product (quality, price, and marketing) that allows the firm to "price discriminate." Many countries, including the US, are unsure about the role of monopolies. Those that have enacted Anti-Trust legislation feel that monopolies stifle innovation and suffocate new companies from emerging. Economics worry that monopolies fail to satisfy consumer demand by producing at level below equilibrium so that they can maximize profits. Others argue that this is not the case. They think monopolies offer a superior product at a lower price than consumers would otherwise enjoy. some monopolies, such as Microsoft, are quite nimble, and their size affords them the ability to spend more money on R&D leading to greater discoveries. Before we can judge which structure is best for which market we need a way to categorize each industry.

The two methods used to determine which market structure a particular industry belongs to are the "Four-Firm Concentration Ratio" and the "Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)." Both are relatively easy to calculate. In the Four-Firm approach you simply calculate the percent of market share (by sales) controlled by the four largest firms in that industry. The range spans from 0% for perfect competition to 100% for a monopoly. Anything above 60% is considered an oligopoly.


For example, if we look up ExxonMobil (XOM) stock on Yahoo!Finance we can click on "Industry," and then "Industry Summary," and discover that ExxonMobil is in the "Major Integrated Oil & Gas" industry. We can also see that the top four companies by market capitalization are: ExxonMobil ($340B), PetroChina ($214B), Royal Dutch Shell ($165B), and British Petroleum ($160B). In total, the top four companies have a market capitalization of $879B. Meanwhile, the entire industry's market capitalization is $1,305B. Therefore, the Four-Firm ratio is 67.3% ($879B / $1,305B), and the "Major Integrated Oil & Gas" industry is considered an Oligopoly.

We use the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index when we require even greater specificity. The HHI adds the square of the percentage of market share of the top 50 firms in the industry (or all the firms if less than 50). To use a different example, if there are only four firms in an industry, and their market share (by sales) are: 50%, 25%, 15%, and 10% then we would use the formula:

HHI = 502 + 252 + 152 + 102 = 3,450 (Oligopoly)
Where the range is:
1 (perfect competition) --> 1,000 (monopolistic competition) --> 1,800 (oligopoly) --> 10,000 (monopoly)

***It should be disclosed that I used market capitalization to calculate both the Four-Firm ratio and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index as a proxy for market share by sales since I believe that there exists a high correlation between the two statistics, and because market capitalization data is more readily available.***

The following graphs are very useful in visually understanding the four types of market structures. The one thing they all have in common is that the equilibrium point is always found by first locating the intersection of Marginal Cost (MC) and Marginal Revenue (MR). In other words, firms always want to produce up until the point where manufacturing just one more unit no longer has any economic benefit, because the cost of producing that one additional unit outweighs the revenue generated. This will determine the equilibrium price and quantity.

Once we have found this point, we can find the equilibrium price by drawing an imaginary vertical line up to where it intersects with the Demand Curve (DC); follow the line downward to find the equilibrium quantity. Now that we know the price and quantity of that which is to be produced, we want to find out whether we are profitable. We determine profitability by once again following the imaginary vertical line that we have drawn to where it intersects with the Average Cost (AC) curve. The space between the DC and AC determines whether or not we have a profit or loss. We experience a profit if the AC lies below the DC. When AC lies above the DC we have an economic loss, and the firm should shutdown and cease operations.

Many of the examples we have used throughout this post have been oligopolies. The biggest fear when dealing with oligopolies is "price collusion," as most famously demonstrated by the oil cartel formed by OPEC during the 1970s. One way to combat oligopolies (or at least predict their behavior) is to apply game theory. When the strategies and payoffs for each player are known, and all players must follow the same rules, we can calculate the "Nash Equilibrium" for which outcome is most likely. The equilibrium depends on the nature of the game being played as there are several possible games, including the prisoners' dilemma and chicken. We expect more collusion to exist when a game is repeated, and "bad" behavior can be penalized, resulting in greater cooperation.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

CFA study session #6: economics: monetary & fiscal policy

Earlier today US President Barack Obama nominated Ben Bernanke to a second term as US Federal Reserve Chairman after fierce controversy regarding his handling of the most severe economic recession in over thirty years. Obama had until January to make the decision. Previously, some speculated that Bernanke might be replaced by Larry Summers who had served in the Clinton administration, and later became President of Harvard University. So, to commemorate Bernanke's success I am posting a blog on monetary & fiscal policy.

After finishing the CFA Volume 2 (Economics) textbook, I am convinced that anyone having taken some introductory economic courses during college will do fine. Further, of the three study sessions found in Volume 2, I believe that macroeconomics will prove more difficult for most readers than the sections on microeconomics and government monetary & fiscal policy.

The most important take-aways on the readings regarding monetary & fiscal policy is that like many other central banks, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) focuses like a laser beam on one principle policy goal: to achieve economic growth with full employment, low inflation, and price stability. To guage the level of economic growth the Fed often looks at changes in the "gross domestic product (GDP)," which represents all the goods produced within the US in a given year. GDP is typically calculated through the "expenditure approach":

GDP = C + I + G + X
C = consumer spending
I = capital expenditures
G = government spending
X = net exports

Like a giant ship navigating through the ocean, the Fed uses monetary policy, accompanied by fiscal policy orchestrated by the US Treasury, to make constant minor adjustments to keep the economy on track. Unfortunately, incremental changes taken on a large ship often take a while before you can see a correction run its course and right the ship. Similarly, government policy often suffers from several time lags, including recognition (it takes time to realize something is wrong), law-making (it takes time to pass the necessary legislation), and impact (it takes time for the solution to work its way through the system). This brings us to the first, and most important, question of how we recognize and measure the economy, and hence, the effect of government policy on it.

Today we commonly hear of the world being awash in liquidity. There exists so much money circulating throughout the world looking for a home that interest rates are temporarily depressed because of "easy money" policies causing a supply imbalance. Central banks believe that such a policy is necessary to provide the fuel needed to jumpstart economic growth. The fear, according to the "quantity theory of money," is that as the quantity of money increases so does price levels, ultimately leading to inflation.

***Incidentally, when accounting for inflation when measuring "real rates of return" it is more accurate to divide the "nominal inflation rate (CPI)" by the "nominal rate of return" (rather than subtract them). For example, if last year you earned 8% on your investments and CPI inflation was 4%, then your "real return" (adjusted for inflation) was not simply 4% (8% - 4%) but rather 3.846% (1.08 / 1.04). Of course inflation can be caused not only by increases in supply ("cost-push inflation"), but also by increases in demand ("demand-pull inflation"), although of course we haven't seen too much of the latter lately - just check the dismal consumer spending trends and the lackluster Consumer Confidence index.***

So, what exactly are we talking about when speak of money supply? The Fed keeps track of how much money is floating around in the economy by looking at M2, which is M1 (checking accounts, traveler's checks, and currency), plus savings accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. The Fed discontinued publication of M3 date on March 23, 2006. As of April 2008 the Fed calculates that within the United States M1 is $1.4 trillion and M2 is $7.7 trillion ($6.3T+$1.4T). Almost half of M2 can be found in savings accounts.

While it may appear quite clear to us now what counts for money and how it is measured, this was not always the case. Roman soldiers used to be paid in salt (in Latin: salarium, or salary), hence the saying "that a man is worth his salt." And Native Americans used wampum beads as currency. Different cultures have historically adopted different forms of money believing it to be more efficient than a pure barter system.

Money is defined by its ability to serve as a medium of exchange (just about everyone will accept US dollars, but not many will accept salt these days for payment), unit of account (with fiat money [notes & coins] we know exactly how much something is worth to the decimal point), and store of value (it would be unwise to choose a perishable item, such as ice cream, as money since it would be problematic to store). Interestingly, what counts as money is constantly evolving. Some argue for a global digital currency. In 2008 China rebuffed US economic pressure when they threatened to "diversify" their reserve currency away from US dollars and toward "Special Drawing Rights (SDR)" - a weighted-basket of 4 currencies (dollar, euro, yen, and pound) held at the IMF. China currently holds $2 trillion in US dollar reserves - more than any other country.

Now that we know what constitutes money, how governments measure the money supply, and the desired goal of economic policy, we can look deeper into the three methods the Fed uses to control the money supply. Perhaps most important, the Fed constantly buys and sells US Treasuries through the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee). When the Fed buys Treasuries on the open market they are paying for those notes with dollars that are then circulated through the economy, thus increasing the money supply (somewhat similar to Microsoft buying back company shares on the stock market). In contrast, if the FOMC were to sell Treasuries, then they would be collecting money from investors, essentially taking money out of circulation, thus decreasing supply.

The Fed also influences money supply by regularly adjusting the discount rate, the benchmark rate that banks must pay to borrow directly from the Fed. The discount rate currently stands at 0.50%. The Fed would prefer that banks borrow from each other, and they do so through the federal funds rate, which currently charges 0.25% when banks borrow from each other for overnight lending. Also tied to the discount rate is the prime rate, currently at 3.25%, which is the rate banks typically charge to their best business customers. But they all take their lead from changes in the discount rate.

Finally, the Fed sets the reserve requirements that each bank must keep on deposit rather than lend out. The current reserve requirement may not change for years. Currently the reserve ratio stands at 10% where it has been since 2006. The reserve ratio also affects the money multiplier effect since only a bank's "excess reserves" may re-enter the economy in the form of loans. The formula for the money multiplier is:

(1 + a) / (a + b)
where "a" the "currency drain ratio" (% of consumer cash not held in banks)
where "b" the "desired reserve ratio" (set by the Fed)
Using the date from above, we have:
(1 + .50) / (0.50 + 0.10)
= 1.50 / 0.60
= 2.5 (for every $1 deposited in a bank, $2.50 can be lent out)
While most of this post deals with monetary policy, current US Treasury Secretary, Tim Geitner, might argue otherwise. Through the Treasury Department the government can influence aggregate demand and supply by adjusting tax rates and through government spending programs. The $700 billion TARP program stands alone as the largest of all government spending programs. Many economists continue to disagree whether or not monetary and fiscal policy are effective (Keynesians), or if they just aggravate conditions moreso than if left alone (monetarists).